Median is an agency that publishes election models for elections to the Chamber of Deputies. [1]

Model from October 2026

The model, which the agency published on Wednesday before the municipal and Senate elections, is based on a September survey of roughly one thousand respondents. The ANO movement would win with 29.5 percent, its lowest result since May and 4.5 percentage points less than in August. STAN would get 17 percent, ODS 12.5, SPD 9, the Czech Pirate Party 7.5 and Motoristé 5 percent. The Lidovci, the Communists, TOP 09 and Naše Česko would not clear the five-percent threshold. [1]

According to the model, ANO would win 72 seats, STAN 43, ODS 31, SPD 22, the Czech Pirate Party 19 and Motoristé 13. The agency says that ANO would still need at least one coalition partner. Turnout would be 59 percent of eligible voters, roughly ten percentage points lower than in October 2025, when it was 68.95 percent. [1]

On Monday the agency NMS published a survey with ANO at 28.8 percent and STAN at 18.8 percent, and on Sunday the agency STEM published a survey with ANO at 31.3 percent and STAN at 16.6 percent. [1]

Chronology

  • — The agency Median published a survey according to which the ANO movement would win the Chamber of Deputies election in September, with its support at the lowest level since May. → iROZHLAS ČTK / České noviny

Pages linking here

Sources

  1. ČTK / České noviny — 17 October 2026