The International Monetary Fund (IMF) regularly publishes forecasts for the world economy and the economies of individual countries, among them the Czech Republic.[1][2]
Autumn outlook 2026
On 13 October 2026 the IMF published its autumn economic outlook.[2] Global growth is expected to slow in 2026 to 3.1 percent from 3.5 percent in 2025, slightly more than the 3.0 percent the fund projected in the July update of its spring outlook. For 2027 the IMF expects an acceleration to 3.4 percent.[2]
The fund said that activity in the first half of the year turned out better than expected despite the war in the Middle East and trade tensions, and that it was supported by extensive investment linked to artificial intelligence.[3] For the United States it forecasts growth of 2.3 percent in both 2026 and 2027, and for the euro area 1.1 percent in 2026.[3]
Outlook for Czechia
For the Czech economy the fund worsened its outlook. According to it, gross domestic product will rise by 1.8 percent in 2026 and by 1.9 percent in 2027, whereas the spring forecast assumed 2.2 percent in both years. Growth in 2025 reached 2.6 percent.[1] Details are described in the article Worsening of the IMF outlook for the Czech economy (2026).
According to the IMF, growth in Czechia in 2026 is to be higher than in Slovakia (0.8 percent) but lower than in Poland (3.4 percent) and Hungary (1.9 percent). The fund estimates average inflation in Czechia at 2.1 percent in 2026 and 2.8 percent in 2027.[1][3]
Chronology
- — The International Monetary Fund worsened its outlook for the Czech economy and estimated GDP growth in 2026 at 1.8 percent instead of the previously expected 2.2 percent. → Novinky.cz iDNES.cz